Arizona @ Colorado Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 97°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 97°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage in today's game.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today's game. Placing in the 15th percentile, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has notched a .258 BABIP this year.

Typically, bats like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Austin Gomber. Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Eugenio Suarez has experienced some positive variance this year. His .358 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320. By putting up a .224 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Eugenio Suarez has performed in the 17th percentile. Eugenio Suarez has notched a .238 BABIP this year, ranking in the 7th percentile.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #1 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 97°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #1 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 97°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

The #1 park in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 97°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Mickey Moniak will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's game.

Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game. When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Randal Grichuk has been pinch hit for 37% of the time. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randal Grichuk today. Randal Grichuk's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 18.1% to 12.2%. When it comes to his batting average, Randal Grichuk has been lucky since the start of last season. His .277 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.

Tim Tawa is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tim Tawa today. Despite posting a .309 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tim Tawa has had positive variance on his side given the .016 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the league. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 97°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Geraldo Perdomo's true offensive skill to be a .304, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .029 deviation between that figure and his actual .333 wOBA. Ranking in the 17th percentile, Geraldo Perdomo has put up a .260 BABIP this year.

The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 97°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 3rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ildemaro Vargas is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ildemaro Vargas today. Ildemaro Vargas has posted a .276 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ildemaro Vargas's 1.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 1st percentile since the start of last season.

Zac Gallen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Thairo Estrada in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Thairo Estrada's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (8.6° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably worse than his 12.6° seasonal angle. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 12.2% to 8.9%. Utilizing Statcast data, Thairo Estrada is in the 9th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .268.

Austin Gomber will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Carroll today. Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corbin Carroll's true offensive skill to be a .357, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .028 disparity between that mark and his actual .385 wOBA.

Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Hunter Goodman will have a tough challenge today. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.287) may lead us to conclude that Hunter Goodman has been very fortunate this year with his .361 actual wOBA. Hunter Goodman has shown poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 7th percentile with a 5.54 K/BB rate.

Zac Gallen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Beck in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, posting a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .038 gap. As it relates to plate discipline, Jordan Beck's ability is quite weak, posting a 4.35 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 15th percentile.

The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 97°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Batters such as Jose Herrera with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Austin Gomber who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Tyler Freeman will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.9°, Tyler Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) in the last two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Freeman's true offensive talent to be a .329, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .040 difference between that mark and his actual .369 wOBA. Ranking in the 3rd percentile, Tyler Freeman sits with a .239 BABIP since the start of last season.

Alek Thomas has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.