Texas @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences among all major league parks — generally bad for home runs. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Corey Seager's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 94.6 mph to 91.3 mph. Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 21.5% to 15.1%. In the last 14 days, Corey Seager's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme groundball bats like Ke'Bryan Hayes generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jacob deGrom. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. There has been a significant improvement in Adolis Garcia's launch angle from last year's 14.8° to 20.4° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Wyatt Langford's true offensive skill to be a .358, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .033 deviation between that mark and his actual .325 wOBA.

Josh Jung's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Josh Jung's launch angle recently (41.7° over the past week) is significantly higher than his 13.6° seasonal mark. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 16.8% to 20.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Joey Bart is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jared Triolo will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jared Triolo has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, compiling a .282 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .341 — a .059 disparity.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Adam Frazier will have an advantage today. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Adam Frazier has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 87.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 84.7-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Evan Carter will have an advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.7°, Evan Carter has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 47.7° angle in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Marcus Semien's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16.9°) is a considerable increase over his 13.5° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jacob deGrom. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Smith in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Josh Smith is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today's game.

Sam Haggerty's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sam Haggerty is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.1°, Sam Haggerty has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23° mark in the past 7 days.

PNC Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Alexander Canario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.309) provides evidence that Alexander Canario has been unlucky this year with his .265 actual wOBA. Since the start of last season, Alexander Canario's 14.7% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 94th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best venue in the majors for LHB BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Alejandro Osuna will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Burrows in today's game. Ranking in the 84th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.55 ft/sec this year, Alejandro Osuna is notably quick.