Atlanta @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park projects as the #24 park in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will be in a tough position in today's game. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ronald Acuna Jr. today.

LoanDepot Park projects as the #24 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. In today's matchup, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41.9% rate (99th percentile). Out of every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

LoanDepot Park projects as the #24 park in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Janson Junk will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's game. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last week, Connor Norby's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.8-mph in recent games. Connor Norby's launch angle lately (30° over the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 15.6° seasonal mark. Connor Norby has been unlucky this year, compiling a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .024 discrepancy.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Didier Fuentes in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Jesus Sanchez tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's game. Michael Harris II may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Bats such as Michael Harris II with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Janson Junk who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Nick Allen hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Bats such as Nick Allen with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Janson Junk who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. In the last 7 days, Nick Allen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.7-mph over the course of the season to 89.8-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.3°, Nick Allen has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 28.8° figure in the past 7 days.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Dane Myers is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Typically, batters like Dane Myers who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bryce Elder. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Dane Myers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Dane Myers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 96.4-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Otto Lopez tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Marcell Ozuna has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.2° angle over the past week. Utilizing Statcast data, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 91st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .362. Placing in the 82nd percentile, Marcell Ozuna has notched a .354 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Eric Wagaman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Eric Wagaman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 11.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Alex Verdugo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. In comparison to his 88.3-mph average last year, Alex Verdugo's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90.4 mph.

Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage against Didier Fuentes today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today. Matt Olson is apt to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Matt Olson has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.5% rate last year to 18.2% this season.

Ozzie Albies has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86.6-mph average. Ozzie Albies's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (17.7°) is a significant increase over his 14.2° mark last season. Despite posting a .284 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ozzie Albies has been unlucky given the .033 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Heriberto Hernandez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot in recent games, hitting his way to a .400 wOBA over the last two weeks.

Sean Murphy has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Didier Fuentes throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge today. Kyle Stowers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Kyle Stowers has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, upping his 11% rate last season to 18.2% this season. Kyle Stowers has put up a .352 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 86th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Agustin Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Agustin Ramirez has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 7 days. Agustin Ramirez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.2-mph figure. Agustin Ramirez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .234 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.