Atlanta @ Miami picks

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Didier Fuentes in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like Jesus Sanchez tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in LoanDepot Park.. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Austin Riley has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.3° figure over the past 7 days.. Austin Riley has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 20.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 28.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ozzie Albies has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86.6-mph average.. Ozzie Albies's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (17.7°) is a significant increase over his 14.2° mark last season.. Despite posting a .284 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ozzie Albies has been unlucky given the .033 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Marcell Ozuna has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.2° angle over the past week.. Utilizing Statcast data, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 91st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .362.. Based on Statcast data, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 78th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 23.700.

When estimating his home run talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sean Murphy has averaged 35.3 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 94th percentile for power.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Didier Fuentes in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like Jesus Sanchez tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's game.. Michael Harris II may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.. Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Bats such as Michael Harris II with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Janson Junk who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Didier Fuentes in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like Jesus Sanchez tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Marcell Ozuna has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.2° angle over the past week.. Utilizing Statcast data, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 91st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .362.. Based on Statcast data, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 78th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 23.700.

Ozzie Albies's BABIP skill is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. LoanDepot Park projects as the #25 field in Major League Baseball for overall LHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.