Minnesota @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage against Byron Buxton in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Byron Buxton are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Martinez. Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. From last season to this one, Byron Buxton's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.6% to 13.5%. Byron Buxton has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .273 rate is a fair amount higher than his .238 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Among all major league stadiums, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #7 field in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Willi Castro's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Willi Castro is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. TJ Friedl will have the handedness advantage over Chris Paddack today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Among all major league stadiums, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Among all major league stadiums, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The #7 field in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage over Chris Paddack today. Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The #7 field in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

The #7 field in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 3rd-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The #7 field in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 3rd-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #7 field in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Paddack in today's game. Will Benson pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Kody Clemens will have an edge in today's game. Kody Clemens pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #7 field in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Santiago Espinal has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Nick Martinez. Brooks Lee pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #7 field in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 3rd-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Matt Wallner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Christian Vazquez has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.