Baltimore @ Tampa Bay picks
George M. Steinbrenner Field
BAL vs TB Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 10th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average skill.. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Junior Caminero's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Extreme groundball hitters like Junior Caminero are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Charlie Morton.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cedric Mullins o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Bats such as Cedric Mullins with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total Bases

Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 10th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average skill.. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Junior Caminero's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Extreme groundball hitters like Junior Caminero are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Charlie Morton.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ramon Urias o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 83°.. In the past week, Ramon Urias's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 16.7%.. In the last 7 days, Ramon Urias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 101.8-mph lately.. Ranking in the 78th percentile, Ramon Urias has posted a .267 batting average this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Danny Jansen o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Danny Jansen will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Danny Jansen has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.5% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 18.7% on the season to 26.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games.