Minnesota @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The #8 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 11th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Byron Buxton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 18.6% to 13.5%. In terms of his batting average, Byron Buxton has been lucky this year. His .273 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.

Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Carlos Correa's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%. Carlos Correa's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 88.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 82.7-mph in the last 7 days. Carlos Correa's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 12.2% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games. In notching a .286 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Carlos Correa is positioned in the 16th percentile for offensive skills.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ty France today. Ty France's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 87.6-mph over the past 14 days. When it comes to plate discipline, Ty France's skill is quite bad, putting up a 3.61 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 8th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The #8 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage today. Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 8th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Matt Wallner ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Matt Wallner pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Willi Castro's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Willi Castro is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Spencer Steer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 8th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Will Benson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #8 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Will Benson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Brooks Lee pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 11th-worst among all the teams playing today. Brooks Lee has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 7.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Santiago Espinal has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 8th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Tyler Stephenson has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The #8 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The #8 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Harrison Bader will have an edge in today's matchup. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 11th-worst among all the teams playing today.

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 venue in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in today's game. TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Jonah Bride will have an edge today. Jonah Bride pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 11th-worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. The 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors are found in Great American Ball Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Christian Vazquez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 11th-worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today. Jose Trevino pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 8th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's matchup.