Minnesota @ Cincinnati picks

This is one of my favorite angles. Andrew Abbott is coming off a season-high 110 pitches which was on the heels of a 100-pitch game two starts ago. Before that, he was averaging 91 pitches per start. The complete game he just threw could reduce his workload and the extra innings he has tacked on could hurt his efficiency today. There are other reasons why I love fading the Reds starter today, too. It’s a start at a hitters’ ballpark and there is possible rain in the forecast. He has also hit this Over in just five of his 11 starts and only had five punchouts in his 27-out performance one start ago. His Under 17.5 outs at plus money is also a good place to fade him. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best stadium in the majors for left-handed home runs.. The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 85%.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 85%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Willi Castro is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 85%.. Willi Castro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 85%.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Harrison Bader will have an edge in today's game.. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today.

When assessing his home run ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 85%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best stadium in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 85%.. Will Benson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Festa in today's game.. Will Benson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Byron Buxton projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 85%.. Byron Buxton will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best stadium in the majors for left-handed home runs.. The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 85%.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 85%.. Brooks Lee pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today.. Brooks Lee's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.6% to 19.4%.

As it relates to his home run skill, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-most humidity on the slate today at 80%.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.