Baltimore @ Tampa Bay picks

Dean Kremer is coming off a season-high 105 pitches which are 13 more than his season average. He has hit triple digits in pitches three times this year and the other times he did it, he totaled just five Ks and had five total walks with 10 runs allowed. It’s a road start where his ERA sits at 6.07 compared to 2.90 at home and the weather is almost 90 degrees with the wind blowing out. Before settling on the strikeouts, I was close to betting on his Over 1.5 BBA + Over 2.5 earned runs at +144 (DraftKings).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.. Jordan Westburg has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 14.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the past two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ramon Laureano has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 23.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 20.2°.. Ramon Laureano has paced 25.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's game.. Colton Cowser has performed at a clip of 24.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.. The Baltimore Orioles have 7 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Zack Littell in today's game.. Zack Littell's 91.4-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1-mph fall off from last season's 92.4-mph mark.

On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Matt Thaiss will have an edge today.. Matt Thaiss will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Matt Thaiss's speed has increased this season. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.42 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge today.