Tampa Bay @ New York picks

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams today.. Junior Caminero has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.3% seasonal rate to 18.4% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 12th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average talent.. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Yandy Diaz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams today.. Yandy Diaz has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.5-mph to 98.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.

When assessing his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Brandon Lowe will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Over the last 14 days, Francisco Lindor has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.8% to 17.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball's 10th-best home run batter.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.. Pete Alonso has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 20.6% this season.

Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Danny Jansen tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Griffin Canning.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams today.. Danny Jansen has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week's worth of games.. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.1°, Danny Jansen has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 36.7° angle over the past week.

Taylor Walls has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams today.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.278) provides evidence that Taylor Walls has had bad variance on his side this year with his .258 actual wOBA.

Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Brett Baty has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last season to 15.2% this season.. Compared to his seasonal average of 7.9°, Brett Baty has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 31.4° angle over the last week.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.