Minnesota @ Houston picks
Daikin Park
MIN vs HOU Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Wallner projects as the 8th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Wallner is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Matt Wallner will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Matt Wallner with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs

Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the game's 15th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Byron Buxton are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Wallner projects as the 8th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Wallner is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Matt Wallner will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Matt Wallner with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total Bases

Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the game's 15th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Byron Buxton are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kody Clemens o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Kody Clemens has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 13% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past week's worth of games.. Kody Clemens has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last season's 93.8-mph mark.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Kody Clemens has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.1° figure over the past two weeks.
Outs Recorded

Hunter Brown u17.5 Outs Recorded (+136)
Projection 17.3 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Projected catcher Yainer Diaz profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Minute Maid Park projects as the #10 field in the game for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 2nd-shallowest LF fences in the league are found in Minute Maid Park.. Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Hunter Brown (49.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Minnesota's projected batting order.. It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Hunter Brown has relied on his non-fastballs 7.1% less often this year (39.9%) than he did last season (47%).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brendan Rodgers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Extreme groundball hitters like Brendan Rodgers tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Brendan Rodgers will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Byron Buxton o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the game's 15th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Byron Buxton are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Christian Vazquez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to righties.. The 2nd-shallowest LF fences in the league are found in Minute Maid Park.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) provides evidence that Christian Vazquez has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .217 actual batting average.