Athletics @ Kansas City picks
Kauffman Stadium
ATH vs KC Picks
MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst
Bobby Witt Jr. is hitting .278 with 35 runs and 37 RBIs so far this year, even after a recent stretch that has seen him go 1-for-15 over his last four games. Tonight against the Athletics should be a great opportunity for Witt to break out again. Witt is hitting .320 with an .855 OPS against lefthanded pitching this season, and Jacob Lopez isn’t exactly an intimidating matchup that should threaten his success against southpaws. I’m betting on Witt to have a big game, which is why I’m taking the Over on his hits, runs, and RBIs total.
Total RBIs

Brent Rooker o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Brent Rooker projects as the 15th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 87°.. In the last week, Brent Rooker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14% up to 29.2%.
Total RBIs

Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 87°.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Jac Caglianone o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 87°.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jac Caglianone will hold that advantage today.. Jac Caglianone has been hot in recent games, posting a a 17.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) over the last 7 days.. Jac Caglianone has shown some good exit velocity benchmarks of late, averaging 104.7-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Total RBIs

Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Nicholas Kurtz ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 87°.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Nicholas Kurtz will have an edge in today's game.
Total RBIs

Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Max Muncy is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 87°.. Over the last 14 days, Max Muncy has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.2% to 21.1%.. Over the last two weeks, Max Muncy's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph lately.
Total RBIs

Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 87°.. Lawrence Butler will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's game.
Total Bases

Mark Canha u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Mark Canha ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #30 ballpark in the league for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for HRs.. Mark Canha has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .243 mark is considerably higher than his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Mark Canha's 3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 8th percentile since the start of last season.
Outs Recorded

Jacob Lopez u14.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
Projection 14 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Lopez to throw 81 pitches today (least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) calling pitches in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #1 ballpark in the game for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 87°.
Total Bases

Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 87°.. Lawrence Butler will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Lawrence Butler o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 87°.. Lawrence Butler will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's game.