Miami @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 24th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Trevor Williams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Agustin Ramirez in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Williams's large platoon split. Agustin Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Javier Sanoja usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Trevor Williams. Javier Sanoja has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89.6-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Cade Gibson throws from, Amed Rosario will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Batters such as Amed Rosario with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Janson Junk who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Amed Rosario's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 93.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 78.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Robert Hassell III's BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Gibson throws from, Robert Hassell III will have an advantage today. Robert Hassell III will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Dane Myers is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Dane Myers are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Trevor Williams. Dane Myers has notched a .379 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Otto Lopez today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Williams's large platoon split. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Otto Lopez in today's matchup. Otto Lopez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 41.5% to 36.1%.

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The 10th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Josh Bell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today. Josh Bell has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph EV. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.222) implies that Josh Bell has had some very poor luck this year with his .178 actual batting average.

When estimating his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Cade Gibson throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The #3 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 87.1-mph average last season has dropped off to 84.6-mph. Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.9°, Xavier Edwards has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4.9°) over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Cade Gibson throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage today. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Connor Norby's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Connor Norby's launch angle recently (26.6° in the last week's worth of games) is considerably higher than his 15° seasonal figure. Connor Norby has recorded a .328 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile.

Liam Hicks is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 10th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Liam Hicks will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Liam Hicks will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.

The #3 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Jesus Sanchez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 94.7 mph to 89.1 mph. Jesus Sanchez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 10.9% to 7%.

Alex Call is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Alex Call has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Call will hold that advantage in today's game. Alex Call has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the last two weeks.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Nathaniel Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Gibson in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The 10th-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. In the last week, Eric Wagaman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 103.2-mph of late.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Riley Adams has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Riley Adams will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Riley Adams has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .187 BA is considerably lower than his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Riley Adams's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.

Andres Chaparro has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Jacob Young has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.