Miami @ Washington Picks & Props

MIA vs WAS Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Washington Nationals logo WAS (-123)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

On paper, this game looks awful, but there's value with the Nations at this price. Mitchell Parker has actually been decent over his last couple of starts, and the Marlins aren't exactly hitting the cover off of the baseball. Let's fade one of the worst road teams in the Majors here. 

Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez u1.5 Total Bases (-149)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 16th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Nationals Park profiles as the #27 venue in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heriberto Hernandez in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood u1.5 Total Bases (-169)
Projection 1 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nationals Park profiles as the #27 venue in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Typically, batters like James Wood who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Edward Cabrera.. James Wood has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 18.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week's worth of games.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.9) may lead us to conclude that James Wood has experienced some positive variance this year with his 32.3 actual HR/600.
Quick Bet information modal

Place your Bet from Covers in seconds with QuickBet.

Look for this icon

*Participating sportsbooks only. Only available in regulated states.

MIA vs WAS Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

64% picking Washington

36%
64%

Total PicksMIA 285, WAS 502

Moneyline
MIA
WAS
Moneyline

MIA vs WAS Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 24th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nationals Park profiles as the #28 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Agustin Ramirez in today's matchup. Agustin Ramirez's launch angle recently (-1° in the past 7 days) is significantly worse than his 7° seasonal angle.

Agustin Ramirez logo

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 24th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nationals Park profiles as the #28 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Agustin Ramirez in today's matchup. Agustin Ramirez's launch angle recently (-1° in the past 7 days) is significantly worse than his 7° seasonal angle.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Otto Lopez in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Otto Lopez's 9.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.4%. Otto Lopez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 41.5% to 36.1%.

Otto Lopez logo

Otto Lopez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Otto Lopez in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Otto Lopez's 9.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.4%. Otto Lopez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 41.5% to 36.1%.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Mitchell Parker today. Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 87.1-mph figure last season has lowered to 84.6-mph.

Xavier Edwards logo

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Mitchell Parker today. Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 87.1-mph figure last season has lowered to 84.6-mph.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The 10th-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Robert Hassell III will hold the platoon advantage over Edward Cabrera today. Robert Hassell III will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Robert Hassell III logo

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The 10th-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Robert Hassell III will hold the platoon advantage over Edward Cabrera today. Robert Hassell III will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami

Connor Norby
C. Norby
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Connor Norby is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Among all parks, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Connor Norby will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's matchup.

Connor Norby logo

Connor Norby

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Connor Norby is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Among all parks, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Connor Norby will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's matchup.

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Among all parks, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Javier Sanoja will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Javier Sanoja tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitchell Parker.

Javier Sanoja logo

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Among all parks, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Javier Sanoja will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Javier Sanoja tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitchell Parker.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

Alex Call
A. Call
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alex Call has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Call will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Alex Call has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past 14 days. Alex Call has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 91.4-mph over the past two weeks.

Alex Call logo

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alex Call has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Call will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Alex Call has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past 14 days. Alex Call has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 91.4-mph over the past two weeks.

Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami

Kyle Stowers
K. Stowers
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 10th-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Barrel% of Kyle Stowers has significantly improved, with an increase from 11% last year to 19.7% this year. This season, Kyle Stowers has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 94.4 mph mark. Kyle Stowers's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 96.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 93.4-mph over the past two weeks.

Kyle Stowers logo

Kyle Stowers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 10th-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Barrel% of Kyle Stowers has significantly improved, with an increase from 11% last year to 19.7% this year. This season, Kyle Stowers has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 94.4 mph mark. Kyle Stowers's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 96.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 93.4-mph over the past two weeks.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera today. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Nathaniel Lowe logo

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Among all parks, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker today. Eric Wagaman has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 93.8-mph.

Eric Wagaman logo

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Among all parks, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eric Wagaman will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker today. Eric Wagaman has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 93.8-mph.

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

Dane Myers
D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his BABIP talent, Dane Myers is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Dane Myers will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Dane Myers generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitchell Parker.

Dane Myers logo

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his BABIP talent, Dane Myers is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Dane Myers will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Dane Myers generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitchell Parker.

Jose Tena Total Hits Props • Washington

Jose Tena
J. Tena
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jose Tena will have an edge in today's game. Jose Tena has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jose Tena logo

Jose Tena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jose Tena will have an edge in today's game. Jose Tena has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today. Nick Fortes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In comparison to his 84.1-mph average last year, Nick Fortes's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 88 mph. Nick Fortes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 11.6% to 19.7%.

Nick Fortes logo

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today. Nick Fortes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In comparison to his 84.1-mph average last year, Nick Fortes's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 88 mph. Nick Fortes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 11.6% to 19.7%.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Edward Cabrera. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz logo

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Edward Cabrera. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Bell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Josh Bell has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph average.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Bell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Josh Bell has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph average.

Heriberto Hernandez Total Hits Props • Miami

Heriberto Hernandez
H. Hernandez
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Among all parks, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Heriberto Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot in recent games, hitting his way to a .457 wOBA in the past week. Over the past 14 days, Heriberto Hernandez has averaged an impressive 98.4-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

Heriberto Hernandez logo

Heriberto Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all parks, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Heriberto Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot in recent games, hitting his way to a .457 wOBA in the past week. Over the past 14 days, Heriberto Hernandez has averaged an impressive 98.4-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

MIA vs WAS Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
All Marlins Money Leaders

Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
All Nationals Money Leaders
Top User Picks

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast

Some of our content has moved

Records, stats, preview and injuries can be found in the Stats tab. Props can be found in the Picks Tab.