Tampa Bay @ New York picks

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's game.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Clay Holmes in today's matchup.. Jonathan Aranda will probably have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 12th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Yandy Diaz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 93.5-mph mark.. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (4.9°) is a considerable increase over his 1.3° figure last season.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the last 14 days, Francisco Lindor has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.8% to 17.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball's 10th-best home run batter.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. Pete Alonso will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. The Barrel% of Pete Alonso has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 20.6% this year.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. Clay Holmes has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 2.95 rate is considerably lower than his 3.95 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Hitters such as Danny Jansen with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Clay Holmes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Danny Jansen has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week's worth of games.. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.1°, Danny Jansen has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 36.7° angle in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph average.. In the past week's worth of games, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 109.2-mph in recent games.