CHC -113 o8.0
PIT +104 u8.0
ATL -156 o9.0
WAS +144 u9.0
TOR -120 o8.5
TB +100 u8.5
BAL -134 o8.0
CHW +124 u8.0
NYY -181 o9.0
MIN +165 u9.0
CIN +100 o8.5
STL -108 u8.5
TEX +114 o8.0
HOU -123 u8.0
SF +114 o9.5
AZ -123 u9.5
PHI +118 o8.5
LAD -130 u8.5

Miami @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

MIA vs PIT Picks

MLB Picks
Total RBIs
Connor Norby logo
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Total RBIs
Eric Wagaman logo
Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.7) may lead us to conclude that Eric Wagaman has been unlucky this year with his 10.0 actual HR/600.
Total RBIs
Jesus Sanchez logo
Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller today.. Jesus Sanchez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.9-mph EV.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today.. Kyle Stowers has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11% rate last season to 20.4% this season.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Javier Sanoja logo
Javier Sanoja o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Javier Sanoja has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 93.4-mph in the last 14 days.. In the last week's worth of games, Javier Sanoja's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) provides evidence that Javier Sanoja has suffered from bad luck this year with his .241 actual batting average.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Dane Myers logo
Dane Myers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 10th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. By putting up a .337 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Dane Myers grades out in the 87th percentile.. In notching a .379 BABIP since the start of last season, Dane Myers grades out in the 97th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jesus Sanchez logo
Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller today.. Jesus Sanchez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.9-mph EV.
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MIA vs PIT Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

75% picking Pittsburgh

25%
75%

Total PicksMIA 204, PIT 610

Moneyline
MIA
PIT
Moneyline

MIA vs PIT Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Nick Fortes has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87-mph average to last year's 84.1-mph EV. Compared to last year, Nick Fortes has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.6% to 19.7% this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.296) provides evidence that Nick Fortes has experienced some negative variance this year with his .243 actual wOBA.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Nick Fortes has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87-mph average to last year's 84.1-mph EV. Compared to last year, Nick Fortes has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.6% to 19.7% this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.296) provides evidence that Nick Fortes has experienced some negative variance this year with his .243 actual wOBA.

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Javier Sanoja has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 93.4-mph in the last 14 days. In the last week's worth of games, Javier Sanoja's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) provides evidence that Javier Sanoja has suffered from bad luck this year with his .241 actual batting average.

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Javier Sanoja has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 93.4-mph in the last 14 days. In the last week's worth of games, Javier Sanoja's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) provides evidence that Javier Sanoja has suffered from bad luck this year with his .241 actual batting average.

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

Dane Myers
D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 10th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. By putting up a .337 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Dane Myers grades out in the 87th percentile. In notching a .379 BABIP since the start of last season, Dane Myers grades out in the 97th percentile.

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 10th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. By putting up a .337 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Dane Myers grades out in the 87th percentile. In notching a .379 BABIP since the start of last season, Dane Myers grades out in the 97th percentile.

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami

Connor Norby
C. Norby
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. In notching a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Norby finds himself in the 83rd percentile.

Connor Norby

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. In notching a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Norby finds himself in the 83rd percentile.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching of the day. Bryan Reynolds has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching of the day. Bryan Reynolds has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Oneil Cruz
O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Oneil Cruz will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Oneil Cruz will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Agustin Ramirez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.9-mph.

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Agustin Ramirez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.9-mph.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching of the day. Xavier Edwards has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Xavier Edwards is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Pittsburgh (#3-best of all teams today). Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching of the day. Xavier Edwards has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Xavier Edwards is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Pittsburgh (#3-best of all teams today). Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Heriberto Hernandez Total Hits Props • Miami

Heriberto Hernandez
H. Hernandez
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. In the past week's worth of games, Heriberto Hernandez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .387. Over the last week, Heriberto Hernandez has averaged an impressive 101.4-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential. Heriberto Hernandez has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 63.6% of the time over the last week.

Heriberto Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. In the past week's worth of games, Heriberto Hernandez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .387. Over the last week, Heriberto Hernandez has averaged an impressive 101.4-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential. Heriberto Hernandez has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 63.6% of the time over the last week.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

Jesus Sanchez
J. Sanchez
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #5 park in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller today.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #5 park in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller today.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching of the day. Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Otto Lopez will have a tough matchup today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Otto Lopez today. Over the past 7 days, Otto Lopez's 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.4%.

Otto Lopez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching of the day. Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Otto Lopez will have a tough matchup today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Otto Lopez today. Over the past 7 days, Otto Lopez's 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.4%.

Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami

Kyle Stowers
K. Stowers
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today. Kyle Stowers has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11% rate last season to 20.4% this season.

Kyle Stowers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today. Kyle Stowers has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11% rate last season to 20.4% this season.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Henry Davis
H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Henry Davis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Henry Davis has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.2% to 22.7%. In the past two weeks, Henry Davis's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph in recent games. Over the past 7 days, Henry Davis's 45.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Henry Davis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Henry Davis has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.2% to 22.7%. In the past two weeks, Henry Davis's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph in recent games. Over the past 7 days, Henry Davis's 45.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jared Triolo
J. Triolo
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jared Triolo's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jared Triolo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 19.5% on the season to 30% over the last week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) implies that Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .210 actual batting average.

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jared Triolo's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jared Triolo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 19.5% on the season to 30% over the last week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) implies that Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .210 actual batting average.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Adam Frazier
A. Frazier
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage in today's game. Adam Frazier's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (15.6°) is considerably higher than his 11.9° angle last season. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 15.9% on the season to 29.4% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage in today's game. Adam Frazier's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (15.6°) is considerably higher than his 11.9° angle last season. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 15.9% on the season to 29.4% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Andrew McCutchen has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Andrew McCutchen has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's game.

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .254 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has been unlucky given the .043 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .254 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has been unlucky given the .043 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Placing in the 91st percentile, Isiah Kiner-Falefa sports a .294 batting average this year.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Placing in the 91st percentile, Isiah Kiner-Falefa sports a .294 batting average this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

MIA vs PIT Preview

Last Meeting ( Jun 9, 2025 ) Miami 3, Pittsburgh 10

The Miami Marlins have been waiting for former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara to regain his form all season. Alcantara may have given them a ray of hope in his most recent start and will look to build on it Tuesday night when the Marlins visit the surging Pittsburgh Pirates.

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