Seattle @ Arizona picks
Chase Field
SEA vs AZ Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown

Merrill Kelly u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-105)
Projection 5 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Dan Iassogna) in charge of the strike zone in this game.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Herrera (the D-Backs's expected catcher today) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 4th-worst park in the game for strikeouts.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the league for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Despite posting a .323 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky given the .040 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .363.
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 9th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs

Jorge Polanco o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs

Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the league for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Randy Arozarena has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rowdy Tellez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Rowdy Tellez has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last year to 16.7% this year.. In the last week's worth of games, Rowdy Tellez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.7% up to 23.1%.
Total Bases

Rowdy Tellez o0.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Rowdy Tellez has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last year to 16.7% this year.. In the last week's worth of games, Rowdy Tellez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.7% up to 23.1%.
Outs Recorded

Merrill Kelly u17.5 Outs Recorded (+118)
Projection 16.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Dan Iassogna) in charge of the strike zone in this game.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Herrera (the D-Backs's expected catcher today) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.. The #3 stadium in the game for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. The Seattle Mariners have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in this matchup.
Total Bases

Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 9th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to more offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.