Tampa Bay @ Boston picks

Brayan Bello has really struggled against the Rays, with Tampa Bay hitters slashing .357/.412/.507 in 84 at-bats against the Boston right-hander. Things won't get any easier for Boston, as Rays starter Shane Baz has surrendered three earned runs or fewer in as many consecutive starts. With Tampa Bay gaining ground in the AL East, back the Rays to prevail on Monday. 

The Boston Red Sox may be struggling at 32-35, but it’s certainly not the fault of their lineup. Boston is averaging 4.93 runs per game, good for fifth in the majors, and that number has only been increasing over the past week. In their last four games, the Red Sox have gone for double-digit runs three times, including twice in their series win against the Yankees in New York over the weekend. 

The Red Sox hit into a fair number of grounders and Rays SP Shane Baz induces a ton of them. He held Boston to just two hits over six innings the last time these teams met and the Red Sox are coming off a Sunday Night Baseball appearance, which could leave them sluggish to start the week.

When assessing his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today's matchup.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today's matchup.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.