Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

Henry Davis has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Henry Davis will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Henry Davis will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Henry Davis has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Oneil Cruz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Oneil Cruz has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 15.7% rate last season to 24.2% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has had some very poor luck given the .044 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

When assessing his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 13th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Over the last week, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 16.7%. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 15.9% to 19.2%. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 19.2% on the season to 30.4% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today. Compared to his seasonal average of 16°, Bryson Stott has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21.5° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games. Compared to last season, Bryson Stott has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.2% to 20.6% this season.

Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today's matchup. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.8% to 18.9%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.316) may lead us to conclude that Max Kepler has had some very poor luck this year with his .296 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage today. Bryan Reynolds has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.2-mph average.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Andrew McCutchen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have an edge today. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 88.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alec Bohm has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately. With a .286 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Alec Bohm grades out in the 90th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .254 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has experienced some negative variance given the .044 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's game. Kyle Schwarber's launch angle this year (19°) is a significant increase over his 14.9° figure last season. Placing in the 96th percentile, Kyle Schwarber sports a .399 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Nick Castellanos's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Nick Castellanos has compiled a .281 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nick Castellanos is in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (51.2% rate this year). Nick Castellanos has compiled a .283 batting average this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Jared Triolo's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jared Triolo will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Jared Triolo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jared Triolo has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .208 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .234 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 6th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP ability. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8% seasonal rate to 25% over the past two weeks. Brandon Marsh's launch angle in recent games (31.3° in the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 8.2° seasonal figure. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.317) suggests that Brandon Marsh has suffered from bad luck this year with his .287 actual wOBA.

Alexander Canario will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alexander Canario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.318) implies that Alexander Canario has had bad variance on his side this year with his .277 actual wOBA.