Arizona @ Cincinnati picks

Two of the highest-scoring teams in baseball collide in Cincinnati on Saturday when the D-backs (fourth by runs per game) visit the Reds (10th). Both starters have fairly short leashes, and each bullpen is in the lower third of the majors by ERA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the least humidity on the schedule today at 76%.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.. Elly De La Cruz has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting on the slate today.. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today's game.. Spencer Steer's launch angle lately (24.9° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 16.4° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his home run skill, Will Benson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Will Benson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the least humidity on the schedule today at 76%.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Will Benson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Will Benson is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the least humidity on the schedule today at 76%.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand will hold that advantage in today's game.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.224) suggests that Christian Encarnacion-Strand has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .188 actual batting average.

Ketel Marte projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the least humidity on the schedule today at 76%.. Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the least humidity on the schedule today at 76%.. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage today.. Matt McLain has been unlucky this year, compiling a .261 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .065 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the least humidity on the schedule today at 76%.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.. Elly De La Cruz has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Pavin Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the least humidity on the schedule today at 76%.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Pavin Smith will have an advantage in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the least humidity on the schedule today at 76%.. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage today.. Matt McLain has been unlucky this year, compiling a .261 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .065 disparity.