Texas @ Washington picks
Nationals Park
TEX vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
Total RBIs

Nathaniel Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Josh Bell has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Batters such as Josh Bell with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jacob deGrom who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best batter in the majors.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Corey Seager has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.1-mph average to last season's 92-mph average.. Corey Seager has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 94.1-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge in today's game.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Outs Recorded

Jacob deGrom u17.5 Outs Recorded (+120)
Projection 16.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (John Libka) behind the plate in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. With 8 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Jacob deGrom will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.. Given that groundball hitters have a significant advantage over flyball pitchers, Jacob deGrom and his 37.6% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome spot in today's matchup facing 6 opposing GB bats.. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jacob deGrom in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today.. Adolis Garcia has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 99-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 92.8-mph mark.. Adolis Garcia has been unlucky this year, putting up a .271 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .051 discrepancy.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Josh Bell o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Josh Bell has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Batters such as Josh Bell with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jacob deGrom who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.