Kansas City @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for pitching on the schedule today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week. In the past week, Vinnie Pasquantino's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.2%.

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Mike Tauchman will have an advantage in today's game. Mike Tauchman has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Mike Tauchman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Mike Tauchman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 45.9% to 52.5%.

Maikel Garcia's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Maikel Garcia has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. With a .367 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Maikel Garcia is ranked in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. Jonathan India's launch angle this season (17°) is a significant increase over his 13.3° figure last year.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage today. Andrew Benintendi has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 13.7% seasonal rate to 20.7% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Luis Robert Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Luis Robert Jr.'s launch angle lately (32.2° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 19.9° seasonal angle. Luis Robert Jr. has been unlucky this year, notching a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .068 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Miguel Vargas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Miguel Vargas has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.8% seasonal rate to 20% over the past two weeks. In the last two weeks, Miguel Vargas has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 23.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Chase Meidroth is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Chase Meidroth has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Chase Meidroth will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Chase Meidroth has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 92.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 90.5-mph.

Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Salvador Perez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Davis Martin. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. Salvador Perez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.6-mph mark.

Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage against Davis Martin today. Kyle Isbel pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. By putting up a .279 batting average this year, Kyle Isbel is ranked in the 79th percentile.

Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage over Davis Martin in today's matchup. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Michael Massey are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Davis Martin. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. Michael Massey is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Chicago (#2-worst on the slate today).

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for pitching on the schedule today. Davis Martin will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Drew Waters's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Drew Waters will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Davis Martin today. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. Drew Waters has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 4.8% seasonal rate to 13.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Drew Waters has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph mark.

Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .199 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Josh Rojas has had some very poor luck given the .091 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

John Rave will have the handedness advantage against Davis Martin in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. John Rave is quite toolsy, grading out in the 96th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.33 ft/sec this year.

Joshua Palacios is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Joshua Palacios will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Joshua Palacios has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Joshua Palacios will hold that advantage today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Joshua Palacios has suffered from bad luck this year. His .280 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .313.

Jac Caglianone has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Teel has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.