Baltimore @ Athletics Picks & Props

Ramon Laureano will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage over Brent Rooker today. Brent Rooker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest CF fences today. Typically, batters like Brent Rooker who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Dean Kremer. Out of every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Brent Rooker's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 95.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 92.6-mph over the past two weeks.

Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Wilson in today's game. Out of every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Jacob Wilson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph dropping to 82.9-mph in the past week. Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.4°, Jacob Wilson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-9.5°) in the last 14 days. In the last week's worth of games, Jacob Wilson has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power).

In today's game, Ramon Urias is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (85th percentile). Ramon Urias will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Ramon Urias's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%. Ramon Urias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 15.6% to 11.4%. Ramon Urias has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .269 figure is a good deal higher than his .246 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adley Rutschman in today's matchup. Adley Rutschman has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week. Adley Rutschman's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (-6.2° over the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 14.3° seasonal figure. Checking in at the 9th percentile, Adley Rutschman sits with a .236 BABIP this year.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Ryan O'Hearn has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzel Clarke as the 9th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Bats such as Denzel Clarke with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dean Kremer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Denzel Clarke will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Colton Cowser's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. By putting up a .335 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Colton Cowser has performed in the 79th percentile for offensive skills. Since the start of last season, Colton Cowser's 13.6% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 90th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Tyler Soderstrom will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup.

Max Muncy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Max Muncy's true offensive ability to be a .275, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .059 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .216 wOBA.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Dylan Carlson will get to bat from his strong side against JP Sears in today's matchup. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 39.1% to 53.1%.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and JJ Bleday will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates JJ Bleday's true offensive ability to be a .321, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .038 disparity between that mark and his actual .283 wOBA.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Hitters such as Jackson Holliday with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like JP Sears who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Gunnar Henderson has been unlucky this year, notching a .320 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .362 — a .042 disparity.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Luis Urias will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. By putting up a 1.33 K/BB rate this year, Luis Urias has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Willie MacIver will hold that advantage in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against JP Sears in today's matchup. Coby Mayo's speed has gotten better this season. His 27.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.48 ft/sec now.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Jorge Mateo will have the handedness advantage against JP Sears today. Jorge Mateo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 9.7% to 16.7%.

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Heston Kjerstad has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Maverick Handley has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.