Detroit @ Chicago picks
Rate Field
DET vs CHW Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Jake Rogers o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jake Rogers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.6) provides evidence that Jake Rogers has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 16.1 actual HR/600.. Jake Rogers has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 20.9° angle is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (97th percentile).
Total RBIs

Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Gleyber Torres has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.1% seasonal rate to 20.8% over the last 14 days.. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16.6% to 22%.
Total RBIs

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Barrel% of Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.8% last year to 14.3% this year.. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 17.6% to 26.5%.
Total RBIs

Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Riley Greene will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke in today's matchup.. Riley Greene has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Chicago White Sox infield defense profiles as the 8th-worst among all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 7th-worst among all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs

Parker Meadows o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Parker Meadows is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Parker Meadows will have an advantage in today's game.. Parker Meadows pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Parker Meadows ranks in the 88th percentile with a 18.6° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in baseball.. Parker Meadows has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial talent for batting average), ranking in the 75th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.
Total RBIs

Wenceel Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wenceel Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Sean Burke today.. Wenceel Perez pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. In the past 14 days, Wenceel Perez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 23.1% up to 23.1%.. In the past two weeks, Wenceel Perez has posted a 28.2° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today.
Total Bases

Gleyber Torres o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Gleyber Torres has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.1% seasonal rate to 20.8% over the last 14 days.. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16.6% to 22%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Vinny Capra o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 7th-worst among all the teams playing today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Vinny Capra will hold that advantage in today's game.. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Vinny Capra has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .126 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .229.. Vinny Capra is remarkably toolsy, checking in at the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.49 ft/sec this year.