Arizona @ Atlanta picks

The last time we saw Brandon Pfaadt, he was shelled for eight runs on six hits and didn't record a single out. He's not that bad. If he were, the Diamondbacks would be bigger underdogs in this spot, and they are not. Grant Holmes doesn't move the needle for the Braves, and the Diamondbacks' offense as a whole has been much more productive. 

Ketel Marte projects as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Ketel Marte has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.8-mph.. Ketel Marte has compiled a .401 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.. Ketel Marte has compiled a .415 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 48.9% on the season to 63.3% in the last two weeks.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.273) may lead us to conclude that Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been unlucky this year with his .251 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage today.. Using Statcast metrics, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 96th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .382.. Marcell Ozuna has compiled a .387 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Ketel Marte projects as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Ketel Marte has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.8-mph.. Ketel Marte has compiled a .401 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.. Ketel Marte has compiled a .415 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Grant Holmes.. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle this season (22.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 19.3° angle last year.. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.9°, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 30° mark over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage today.. Using Statcast metrics, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 96th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .382.. Marcell Ozuna has compiled a .387 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Grant Holmes.. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle this season (22.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 19.3° angle last year.. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.9°, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 30° mark over the last week.

Matt Olson projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Matt Olson will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.. Matt Olson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage today.. Using Statcast metrics, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 96th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .382.. Marcell Ozuna has compiled a .387 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Ketel Marte projects as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Ketel Marte has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.8-mph.. Ketel Marte has compiled a .401 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.. Ketel Marte has compiled a .415 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.