Colorado @ Miami picks

When estimating his home run talent, Keston Hiura ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 4th-shallowest.. Keston Hiura has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (32.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill is a pitch-to-contact type (3rd percentile K%) — great news for Hiura.

When estimating his home run skill, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Brenton Doyle has big-time HR ability (79th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Doyle.. Brenton Doyle hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. In the last week's worth of games, Brenton Doyle's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.4% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby as the 18th-best hitter in the game when assessing his BABIP ability.. Connor Norby has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 4th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Connor Norby will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his home run skill, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's matchup.. Mickey Moniak may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.. Mickey Moniak has a ton of pop (80th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (26.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill struggles to strike batters out (25th percentile K%) — great news for Moniak.. Mickey Moniak has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last year's 90.5-mph figure.

When estimating his home run skill, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Brenton Doyle has big-time HR ability (79th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill has a pitch-to-contact profile (16th percentile K%) — great news for Doyle.. Brenton Doyle hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. In the last week's worth of games, Brenton Doyle's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.4% up to 20%.

Jacob Stallings's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 17.9% to 28.8%.. Jacob Stallings has been unlucky this year, putting up a .194 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .270 — a .076 discrepancy.

When estimating his home run talent, Keston Hiura ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 4th-shallowest.. Keston Hiura has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (32.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill is a pitch-to-contact type (3rd percentile K%) — great news for Hiura.