Detroit @ Chicago picks
Rate Field
DET vs CHW Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown

Beau Brieske u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-113)
Projection 1.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Beau Brieske to throw 24 pitches in this matchup (least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games today at 86°.. Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Beau Brieske (36.2% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in Chicago's projected offense.. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Beau Brieske today.
Total RBIs

Mike Tauchman o0.5 Total RBIs (+310)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Mike Tauchman will hold the platoon advantage against Sawyer Gipson-Long in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Gipson-Long has a large platoon split.. The Detroit Tigers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Tauchman has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs

Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°.
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Lenyn Sosa o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. The #4 field in the league for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Lenyn Sosa has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs

Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games today at 86°.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run talent, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games today at 86°.. Kerry Carpenter will have the handedness advantage against Shane Smith in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Parker Meadows o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Parker Meadows is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of all games today at 86°.. Parker Meadows will have the handedness advantage over Shane Smith today.. Parker Meadows pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Andrew Benintendi o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for hitting of all games on the slate today.