Colorado @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. In today's game, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41% rate (98th percentile). Extreme flyball batters like Xavier Edwards tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like German Marquez. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 87.1-mph average last season has lowered to 84.2-mph.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Agustin Ramirez meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Agustin Ramirez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Agustin Ramirez has been lucky this year, notching a .352 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .034 gap.

The 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. Batting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Otto Lopez will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Otto Lopez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Otto Lopez tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like German Marquez. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Tyler Freeman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Tyler Freeman has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .209 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.

Brenton Doyle's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brenton Doyle hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .276 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has been unlucky given the .032 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308. Brenton Doyle's 12.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) is in the 79th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 8th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Dane Myers will hold that advantage today. Dane Myers's 11.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) is in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Extreme flyball bats like Ezequiel Tovar tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Meyer.

Javier Sanoja's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Javier Sanoja hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Javier Sanoja will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) implies that Javier Sanoja has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .245 actual batting average.

The 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Keston Hiura grades out in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (58.8% rate since the start of last season).

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer today. Ryan McMahon will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 15.1% to 18.3%.

Sam Hilliard is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Sam Hilliard will have an edge in today's matchup. Sam Hilliard has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Sam Hilliard's 15.9% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage against Max Meyer today. Mickey Moniak has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Mickey Moniak has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 90.5-mph figure. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) implies that Mickey Moniak has suffered from bad luck this year with his .216 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby as the 16th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's game. Connor Norby's 13.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Connor Norby's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 90th percentile at 95.4 mph.

Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hunter Goodman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Hunter Goodman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 33.6% to 40.5%. Hunter Goodman's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 116.2 mph this year, ranking in the 96th percentile.

Thairo Estrada is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Thairo Estrada has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .255 rate is deflated compared to his .268 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's game. Eric Wagaman's 91.4-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in the game this year: 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jordan Beck is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The 4th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Barrel% of Jordan Beck has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.6% last year to 18.8% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against German Marquez today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against German Marquez today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Liam Hicks can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage today.

This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.