Cincinnati @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Shaw in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage today. Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.89 ft/sec this year, Matt Shaw is remarkably fast.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Steer has been unlucky this year, putting up a .280 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .033 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Nick Martinez. Ian Happ has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Will Benson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game. Will Benson's 12.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 87th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Will Benson's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 75th percentile at 93.8 mph. Will Benson grades out in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.8% rate since the start of last season).

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jake Fraley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side against Jameson Taillon in today's game. Elly De La Cruz has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Gavin Lux's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Gavin Lux will have an edge in today's game. Gavin Lux ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (53.8% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Nico Hoerner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In notching a .295 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Nico Hoerner has performed in the 95th percentile.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. With a 1.58 K/BB rate this year, Santiago Espinal has shown good plate discipline, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Tyler Stephenson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.2-mph average to last year's 93.8-mph mark. The standard deviation of Tyler Stephenson's launch angle since the start of last season (26.6°) is in the 79th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Matt McLain has been unlucky this year, compiling a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .070 gap. Matt McLain's 96.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 87th percentile this year. Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.13 ft/sec this year, Matt McLain is remarkably fast.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Martinez today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Michael Busch will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, TJ Friedl will have an edge in today's matchup. In terms of plate discipline, TJ Friedl's skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.44 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 87th percentile. TJ Friedl has compiled a .299 batting average this year, placing in the 94th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.