Washington @ Arizona picks
Chase Field
WAS vs AZ Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. When it comes to his batting average, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year. His .245 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .275.
Total RBIs

Pavin Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Pavin Smith will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Pavin Smith will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jake Irvin struggles to strike batters out (21st percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
Total RBIs

CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
Outs Recorded

Jake Irvin u17.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
Projection 15.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Lance Barksdale) behind the plate today.. Riley Adams, the Nationals's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. With 6 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Jake Irvin will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jake Irvin struggles to strike batters out (21st percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ketel Marte o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 2.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.