Washington @ Seattle picks

The Mariners are coming off a loss on Wednesday night, but I look for them to bounce back in a big way. MacKenzie Gore has been hittable all season long for the Nats, and with the M's playing some good baseball over the last few weeks, I'll take their bats to get the job done. 

Mackenzie Gore has pitched to a 3.47 ERA and leads the majors with 93 strikeouts through 62 1/3 innings. The southpaw is in the top 15th percentile in chase rate while ranking in the top fifth percentile in whiff rate and strikeout rate. The Mariners are 23rd in the majors in strikeout rate (23%) with that number ticking up to 25.1% against southpaws. They are also just 28th in whiff rate and Gore has racked up 8+ punchouts in five of his last seven starts. 

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Andy Fletcher) calling pitches today.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Keibert Ruiz (the Nationals's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a weak pitch framer.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting of the day.. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for MacKenzie Gore today.. MacKenzie Gore's fastball velocity has fallen 1.1 mph this year (94.8 mph) below where it was last season (95.9 mph).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting of the day.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an advantage today.. Randy Arozarena pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting of the day.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for homers.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting of the day.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill.. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting of the day.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage against Emerson Hancock today.. James Wood is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

The 2nd-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Andy Fletcher) calling pitches today.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Keibert Ruiz (the Nationals's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a weak pitch framer.. T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting of the day.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting of the day.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting of the day.. Leody Taveras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today's game.. Leody Taveras has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 14 days.

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting of the day.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Mitch Garver will have an advantage today.. Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for homers.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for hitting of the day.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.