Atlanta @ Philadelphia picks
Citizens Bank Park
ATL vs PHI Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Austin Riley as MLB's 15th-best home run batter.. Austin Riley is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team playing today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.1°, Austin Riley has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 31.2° mark over the past two weeks.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team playing today.. Marcell Ozuna has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 93.1-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Drake Baldwin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the majors's 14th-best home run batter.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. Matt Olson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team playing today.
Total Bases

Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team playing today.. In the past week, Ronald Acuna Jr. has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .472.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Weston Wilson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. Given Chris Sale's large platoon split, Weston Wilson will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Weston Wilson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Weston Wilson has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .345 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .366.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Austin Riley o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Austin Riley as MLB's 15th-best home run batter.. Austin Riley is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team playing today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.1°, Austin Riley has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 31.2° mark over the past two weeks.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Olson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the majors's 14th-best home run batter.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. Matt Olson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team playing today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team playing today.. Marcell Ozuna has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 93.1-mph EV.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nick Allen o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. Extreme groundball hitters like Nick Allen tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Zack Wheeler.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team playing today.. Nick Allen has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph to 89.8-mph in the last two weeks.