Minnesota @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

George M. Steinbrenner Field grades out as the #25 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, George M. Steinbrenner Field's CF dimensions are the 5th-deepest. Drew Rasmussen will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Correa in today's matchup. Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Carlos Correa has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 9.2% rate last season has dropped to 4.2% this season.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, DaShawn Keirsey Jr. will have the upper hand today. DaShawn Keirsey Jr. has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 26.92 ft/sec to 28.57 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Extreme flyball batters like Danny Jansen are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Pablo Lopez. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ty France's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ty France is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.342) implies that Ty France has had some very poor luck this year with his .301 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup.

Brooks Lee is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Drew Rasmussen. Brooks Lee pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Drew Rasmussen. Willi Castro's launch angle this year (18.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.4° angle last year. Willi Castro has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .244 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Junior Caminero's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 18th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Chandler Simpson will have the upper hand today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Chandler Simpson can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Brandon Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's game.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Kameron Misner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's game. Kameron Misner is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. When it comes to his batting average, Royce Lewis has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .218 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's matchup.

When estimating his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 17th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. When it comes to his batting average, Christian Vazquez has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .219 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .234.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's game. Taylor Walls has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .241 mark is a fair amount lower than his .300 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Ryan Jeffers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last year's 86.9-mph mark. When it comes to plate discipline, Ryan Jeffers's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.72 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 78th percentile.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game. Kody Clemens pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Since the start of last season, Kody Clemens's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 87th percentile at 95 mph.

Christopher Morel has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.