Chicago @ New York Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Miguel Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Miguel Vargas generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Griffin Canning. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Mike Tauchman will have an advantage in today's matchup. Mike Tauchman may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Mike Tauchman has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Edgar Quero's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edgar Quero has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage today. Tyrone Taylor is quite toolsy, grading out in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.25 ft/sec this year. Checking in at the 85th percentile, Tyrone Taylor has put up a .321 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Andrew Benintendi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning in today's game. Andrew Benintendi will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Luis Torrens's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Torrens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Luis Torrens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Luis Torrens's 11.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Luis Torrens has an average exit velocity of 90.9 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 85th percentile.

Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Pete Alonso has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last season to 19% this season.

Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Josh Rojas will have an edge in today's matchup. Josh Rojas is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Rojas has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .276 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .295.

Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. Lenyn Sosa has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year's 88.9-mph figure. Checking in at the 84th percentile, Lenyn Sosa sports a .340 BABIP this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Smith today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor has put up a .268 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 39.9% to 48.8%. Jeff McNeil has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 91st percentile with a 1.55 K/BB rate.

Brett Baty is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage today. Brett Baty has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Brett Baty has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last year to 16.9% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. When it comes to his batting average, Korey Lee has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .214 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .229.

Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Joshua Palacios will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Joshua Palacios may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Joshua Palacios has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today. Using Statcast metrics, Joshua Palacios is in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .324.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Jared Young will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Smith in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jared Young will hold that advantage in today's game.