Chicago @ New York picks
Citi Field
CHW vs NYM Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Miguel Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Miguel Vargas generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Griffin Canning.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as MLB's 11th-best home run hitter.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Pete Alonso has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last season to 19% this season.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Smith today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Miguel Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Miguel Vargas generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Griffin Canning.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Tyrone Taylor o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage today.. When it comes to his home runs, Tyrone Taylor has had bad variance on his side this year. His 3.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 11.5.. Tyrone Taylor is quite toolsy, grading out in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.25 ft/sec this year.