St. Louis @ Baltimore Picks & Props

STL vs BAL Picks

MLB Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo Baltimore Orioles logo Any Runs Scored in 1st Inning? (Yes: -110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Orioles have underperformed at the dish this year, due to their issues striking out. However, they've been crushing the ball when they make contact, ranking fourth in the majors in hard-hit rate. They should make contact today against Andre Pallante who's in the bottom 10th percentile in strikeout rate. Pallante has an xERA of 4.68 and is in the bottom 20th percentile in hard-hit rate (46.2%). The O's respond with Tomoyuki Sugano who has an xERA of 4.32 and sits in the bottom 25th percentile in xBA (.270). The Cards lead the majors in BA (.267) against righties.

MoneyLine
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

The Orioles may be rolling on a three-game winning streak, but I can't in good faith back them. They've been one of the biggest disappointments this season, and the Cardinals were rolling along quite nicely until the series opener. I'll take the Cards here with the pitching advantage. 

Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand today.. Nolan Gorman has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano struggles to strike batters out (6th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ivan Herrera's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Ivan Herrera has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Ramon Urias logo
Ramon Urias o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ramon Urias has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Ramon Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's game.. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today.. Batters such as Cedric Mullins with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andre Pallante who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Willson Contreras has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+130)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand today.. Nolan Gorman has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano struggles to strike batters out (6th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Jordan Walker has been unlucky this year, notching a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .059 difference.
Outs Recorded
Tomoyuki Sugano logo
Tomoyuki Sugano u17.5 Outs Recorded (-105)
Projection 16.5 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Tomoyuki Sugano's overall pitching talent ranks in the 18th percentile among all starters in the majors right now.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #3 field in MLB for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Because groundball hitters have a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Tomoyuki Sugano and his 42.9% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult position in today's game facing 2 opposing GB hitters.
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STL vs BAL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

61% picking St. Louis vs Baltimore to go Under

39%
61%

Total PicksSTL 181, BAL 280

Total
Over
Under

STL vs BAL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Masyn Winn
M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

This year, Masyn Winn has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 3rd-deepest LF fences in Major League Baseball. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Tomoyuki Sugano will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

Masyn Winn logo

Masyn Winn

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

This year, Masyn Winn has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 3rd-deepest LF fences in Major League Baseball. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Tomoyuki Sugano will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Ivan Herrera
I. Herrera
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Ivan Herrera will have a tough matchup in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ivan Herrera in today's game. This year, there has been a decline in Ivan Herrera's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.25 ft/sec last year to 26.71 ft/sec currently.

Ivan Herrera logo

Ivan Herrera

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Ivan Herrera will have a tough matchup in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ivan Herrera in today's game. This year, there has been a decline in Ivan Herrera's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.25 ft/sec last year to 26.71 ft/sec currently.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Brendan Donovan
B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Brendan Donovan has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brendan Donovan's true offensive ability to be a .336, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .035 deviation between that mark and his actual .371 wOBA.

Brendan Donovan logo

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Brendan Donovan has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brendan Donovan's true offensive ability to be a .336, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .035 deviation between that mark and his actual .371 wOBA.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan Mountcastle
R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle today. Placing in the 7th percentile, Ryan Mountcastle has notched a .247 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. As it relates to plate discipline, Ryan Mountcastle's talent is quite poor, posting a 5.08 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 11th percentile.

Ryan Mountcastle logo

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle today. Placing in the 7th percentile, Ryan Mountcastle has notched a .247 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. As it relates to plate discipline, Ryan Mountcastle's talent is quite poor, posting a 5.08 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 11th percentile.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Gorman
N. Gorman
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand today. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Nolan Gorman usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

Nolan Gorman logo

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand today. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Nolan Gorman usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's game. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Batters such as Cedric Mullins with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andre Pallante who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Cedric Mullins logo

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's game. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Batters such as Cedric Mullins with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andre Pallante who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Victor Scott II
V. Scott II
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Victor Scott II will have an advantage today. Ranking in the 100th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.03 ft/sec this year, Victor Scott II is quite quick.

Victor Scott II logo

Victor Scott II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Victor Scott II will have an advantage today. Ranking in the 100th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.03 ft/sec this year, Victor Scott II is quite quick.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Willson Contreras
W. Contreras
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #6 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Willson Contreras has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Willson Contreras logo

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #6 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Willson Contreras has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Jordan Walker
J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #6 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker has been unlucky this year, notching a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .059 difference.

Jordan Walker logo

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #6 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker has been unlucky this year, notching a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .059 difference.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Arenado
N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The #6 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Arenado usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Sporting a 1.4 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Arenado has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Nolan Arenado logo

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #6 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Arenado usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Sporting a 1.4 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Arenado has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Alec Burleson
A. Burleson
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today's game.

Alec Burleson logo

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today's game.

Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ramon Urias
R. Urias
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ramon Urias has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #6 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Ramon Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ramon Urias logo

Ramon Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ramon Urias has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #6 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Ramon Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jackson Holliday
J. Holliday
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (69% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage in today's game.

Jackson Holliday logo

Jackson Holliday

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (69% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage in today's game.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Gunnar Henderson
G. Henderson
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup.

Gunnar Henderson logo

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup.

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jorge Mateo
J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #6 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jorge Mateo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jorge Mateo logo

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #6 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jorge Mateo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan O'Hearn
R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's game.

Ryan O'Hearn logo

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's game.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Dylan Carlson
D. Carlson
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage today. Dylan Carlson and his 18.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

Dylan Carlson logo

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage today. Dylan Carlson and his 18.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Lars Nootbaar
L. Nootbaar
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Lars Nootbaar logo

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Heston Kjerstad Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Heston Kjerstad
H. Kjerstad
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Heston Kjerstad will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Heston Kjerstad logo

Heston Kjerstad

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Heston Kjerstad will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Maverick Handley Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Maverick Handley
M. Handley
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The #6 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Maverick Handley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Maverick Handley will hold that advantage today.

Maverick Handley logo

Maverick Handley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #6 park in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Maverick Handley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Maverick Handley will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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St. Louis Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 alltalc 7-3-0 +20715
2 Jackson2399 7-3-0 +17017
3 deweyay9 5-5-0 +16133
4 steelsteve 5-5-0 +14620
5 mrmac4224 6-4-0 +13709
6 Jerrybook 9-1-0 +13100
7 cheeser 7-3-0 +12475
8 mikers 9-1-0 +12375
9 northlv6238 7-3-0 +11580
10 YAL15M 6-4-0 +10655
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Baltimore Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +31435
2 stumpmaker 4-5-1 +24450
3 reddog6008 7-2-1 +20117
4 coach_d5 7-3-0 +18885
5 jnc3lb 5-5-0 +16895
6 mccabe40 3-7-0 +16810
7 MLBFan8848 5-5-0 +16285
8 R_MUNDO 4-6-0 +16065
9 Enelra18 4-5-1 +15445
10 Queefs4 5-4-1 +15185
All Orioles Money Leaders
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