St. Louis @ Baltimore picks

The Orioles may be rolling on a three-game winning streak, but I can't in good faith back them. They've been one of the biggest disappointments this season, and the Cardinals were rolling along quite nicely until the series opener. I'll take the Cards here with the pitching advantage. 

The Orioles have underperformed at the dish this year, due to their issues striking out. However, they've been crushing the ball when they make contact, ranking fourth in the majors in hard-hit rate. They should make contact today against Andre Pallante who's in the bottom 10th percentile in strikeout rate. Pallante has an xERA of 4.68 and is in the bottom 20th percentile in hard-hit rate (46.2%). The O's respond with Tomoyuki Sugano who has an xERA of 4.32 and sits in the bottom 25th percentile in xBA (.270). The Cards lead the majors in BA (.267) against righties.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand today.. Nolan Gorman has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano struggles to strike batters out (6th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.

Ivan Herrera's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Ivan Herrera has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Ramon Urias has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Ramon Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup.

The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's game.. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today.. Batters such as Cedric Mullins with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andre Pallante who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Willson Contreras has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand today.. Nolan Gorman has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano struggles to strike batters out (6th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Jordan Walker has been unlucky this year, notching a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .059 difference.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.. Willson Contreras has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.