Minnesota @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. This season, Jonah Bride has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.7 mph compared to last year's 92.3 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 17th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jose Caballero will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to last season, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.9% to 54.7% this season. Jose Caballero has recorded a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 81st percentile.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Considering Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Chandler Simpson will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Chandler Simpson can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ty France is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ty France has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .301 figure is considerably lower than his .342 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batters such as Junior Caminero with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Joe Ryan who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ben Rortvedt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split. Ben Rortvedt may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ryan Jeffers has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90-mph average to last year's 86.9-mph mark. In terms of plate discipline, Ryan Jeffers's skill is quite good, sporting a 1.75 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 77th percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. This season, Harrison Bader has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year's 90.2 mph mark. Checking in at the 78th percentile, Harrison Bader has posted a .352 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Danny Jansen has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last year's 90.5-mph average. As it relates to plate discipline, Danny Jansen's skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.37 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 96th percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, DaShawn Keirsey Jr. will have the upper hand today. Batters such as DaShawn Keirsey Jr. with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Taj Bradley who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. DaShawn Keirsey Jr.'s quickness has increased this year. His 26.92 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.57 ft/sec now.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.247) may lead us to conclude that Royce Lewis has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .218 actual batting average.

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Taj Bradley. Brooks Lee pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Taj Bradley. Willi Castro's launch angle this season (18.1°) is a considerable increase over his 13.4° figure last year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) suggests that Willi Castro has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .244 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Correa's true offensive skill to be a .335, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .056 disparity between that mark and his actual .279 wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Because of Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Taylor Walls will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.300) provides evidence that Taylor Walls has been unlucky this year with his .241 actual wOBA.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Given Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Kameron Misner will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Kameron Misner may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP. Kameron Misner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Kody Clemens will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley today. Kody Clemens pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Kody Clemens's 95-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 87th percentile since the start of last season.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.