Arizona @ St. Louis picks

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The #3 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Sonny Gray will hold the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez today.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 8th-deepest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Sonny Gray.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Pavin Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today.. Pavin Smith has put up a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Since the start of last season, Pavin Smith's 14.8% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 93rd percentile among his peers.

The 3rd-worst projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Manny Gonzalez profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in this game.. Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Sonny Gray (32.1% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Arizona's projected offense.

Ketel Marte projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Posting a .360 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ketel Marte has performed in the 95th percentile for offensive skills.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ketel Marte grades out in the 90th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 27.900.

Ketel Marte projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Posting a .360 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ketel Marte has performed in the 95th percentile for offensive skills.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ketel Marte grades out in the 90th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 27.900.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game.. Corbin Carroll has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 7.3% rate last season to 17.1% this year.

Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Alek Thomas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Sonny Gray.. Alek Thomas's 92.1-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in MLB since the start of last season: 93rd percentile.