Arizona @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
AZ vs STL Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Corbin Carroll has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 7.3% rate last season to 17.1% this year.. Corbin Carroll has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore.
Total RBIs

Brendan Donovan o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brendan Donovan can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's game.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 13th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Matthew Liberatore.. In the past 14 days, Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 100-mph recently.
Total Bases

Geraldo Perdomo u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Busch Stadium ranks as the #27 venue in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home runs are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all major league parks.. Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. Geraldo Perdomo's launch angle of late (6° over the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 14.1° seasonal figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Corbin Carroll o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Corbin Carroll has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 7.3% rate last season to 17.1% this year.. Corbin Carroll has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph EV.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore.
Total Bases

Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore.
Outs Recorded

Matthew Liberatore u17.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
Projection 16.3 (Under)
EV Model Rating
In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. With 8 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Matthew Liberatore faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.. Among all SPs, Matthew Liberatore's fastball spin rate of 2056 rpm grades out in the 7th percentile this year.. Matthew Liberatore has been lucky this year, compiling a 2.92 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.38 — a 1.46 deviation.. Arizona Diamondbacks hitters as a unit have been one of the best in Major League Baseball this year (6th-) as far as their 90.1-mph average exit velocity.