Miami @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Matthew Lugo will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Matthew Lugo has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 93.8-mph. Matthew Lugo has been hot recently, compiling a a 33.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) in the last 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage today. Zach Neto has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.1-mph to 100.5-mph over the past week.

Derek Hill's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Derek Hill has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .230 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 76th percentile, Derek Hill sits with a .314 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. In the past week's worth of games, Javier Sanoja's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10.8%. As it relates to his batting average, Javier Sanoja has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .239 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .263.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby as the 13th-best hitter in the game when assessing his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. In notching a .339 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Norby is ranked in the 90th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Logan O'Hoppe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Logan O'Hoppe has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 12% rate last season to 17% this year. Logan O'Hoppe's launch angle lately (35.5° over the past week) is a significant increase over his 20.4° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Taylor Ward's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.9% up to 20%.

Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Eric Wagaman has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph average.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ronny Simon has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.4-mph to 90.5-mph in the past week's worth of games. Over the last week, Ronny Simon's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.6%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jorge Soler has been unlucky this year, posting a .302 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .341 — a .039 gap.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jo Adell's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97-mph over the course of the season to 105.3-mph of late. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) may lead us to conclude that Jo Adell has had bad variance on his side this year with his .186 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Cal Quantrill. Yoan Moncada will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. As it relates to his batting average, Otto Lopez has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .260 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .279. Otto Lopez has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core skill for batting average), checking in at the 98th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today's game. Liam Hicks has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph to 90.1-mph in the last 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's game. Jesus Sanchez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Extreme flyball batters like Luis Rengifo are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cal Quantrill. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Luis Rengifo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Luis Rengifo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph in recent games.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Matt Mervis will have the handedness advantage over Jose Soriano in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Mervis are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Soriano. Matt Mervis's launch angle of late (75° over the last week) is significantly better than his 22.6° seasonal mark.

Nolan Schanuel's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Nolan Schanuel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. Nolan Schanuel has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Soriano today. Kyle Stowers has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last year to 23.6% this year.