Chicago @ Cincinnati picks
Great American Ball Park
CHC vs CIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Ian Happ o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in MLB for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ian Happ has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 44% to 50%.
Total RBIs

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in MLB for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 7th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Great American Ball Park.. Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 10th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best venue in the league for lefty home runs.. Kyle Tucker pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Using Statcast metrics, Kyle Tucker is in the 98th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .382.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in MLB for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 7th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Great American Ball Park.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in MLB for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Matt McLain has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Matt McLain will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Matt McLain's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.8% up to 25%.
Total RBIs

Will Benson o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best venue in the league for lefty home runs.. Will Benson will have the handedness advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup.. Will Benson pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Will Benson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Will Benson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 23.5% up to 40%.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best venue in the league for lefty home runs.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Colin Rea.. Elly De La Cruz has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Carson Kelly o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carson Kelly is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in MLB for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 7th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Great American Ball Park.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Carson Kelly will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Carson Kelly has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.6% rate last season to 15% this year.
Total RBIs

Spencer Steer o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in MLB for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Spencer Steer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Spencer Steer's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (20.1° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 16.1° seasonal mark.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Steer's true offensive skill to be a .314, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .041 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .273 wOBA.
Total RBIs

Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best venue in the league for lefty home runs.. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8% rate last year to 13.9% this season.