Chicago @ Miami Picks & Props

Derek Hill's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Derek Hill are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cade Horton. Derek Hill will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Derek Hill has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .228 mark is a fair amount lower than his .261 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Kyle Tucker pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Kyle Tucker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Kyle Tucker has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 14.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week. Kyle Tucker's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 93.2-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 81.8-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Horton throws from, Graham Pauley will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.268) implies that Graham Pauley has had some very poor luck this year with his .234 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Horton throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's game. Hitters such as Jesus Sanchez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cade Horton who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (42.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Seiya Suzuki has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.5% rate last year to 17.3% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Batters such as Javier Sanoja with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cade Horton who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Javier Sanoja will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby as the 17th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 88th percentile, Connor Norby sits with a .333 BABIP since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Dansby Swanson has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games. Dansby Swanson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 95.9-mph.

Eric Wagaman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Eric Wagaman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Eric Wagaman's launch angle lately (21.6° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 10.7° seasonal figure.

Nico Hoerner's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Nico Hoerner has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 1.3% seasonal rate to 7.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Nico Hoerner has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.2-mph mark. Nico Hoerner has compiled a .292 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Max Meyer today. Pete Crow-Armstrong is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Horton in today's game. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball bats like Otto Lopez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cade Horton. Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Agustin Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his good side against Max Meyer in this game. Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 44% to 50%.

LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Miguel Amaya's launch angle in recent games (29.5° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 19.8° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Michael Busch is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Michael Busch will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today's matchup. Michael Busch may have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Horton throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Liam Hicks has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 85.5-mph figure.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Matt Mervis will have the handedness advantage against Cade Horton in today's matchup. Matt Mervis will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.6°, Matt Mervis has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 36.8° angle in the last 14 days.