Philadelphia @ Colorado Picks & Props

PHI vs COL Picks

MLB Picks
Total RBIs
Brenton Doyle logo
Brenton Doyle o0.5 Total RBIs (+159)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Brenton Doyle will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs
Ryan McMahon logo
Ryan McMahon o0.5 Total RBIs (+227)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Ryan McMahon will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+133)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Hunter Goodman will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Michael Toglia logo
Michael Toglia o0.5 Total RBIs (+152)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jordan Beck logo
Jordan Beck o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Jordan Beck ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Beck is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Jordan Beck will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs
J.T. Realmuto logo
J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+112)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. J.T. Realmuto has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph figure.. Over the past 14 days, J.T. Realmuto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 105.7-mph recently.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Hunter Goodman will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
Outs Recorded
Jesus Luzardo logo
Jesus Luzardo u17.5 Outs Recorded (-103)
Projection 16.2 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Colorado Rockies have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best field in the game for batting average.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Given his large platoon split, Jesus Luzardo will have a tough matchup facing 9 hitters in the projected batting order of the opposite hand in today's outing.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Hunter Goodman will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Michael Toglia logo
Michael Toglia o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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PHI vs COL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

83% picking Philadelphia

83%
17%

Total PicksPHI 773, COL 162

Moneyline
PHI
COL
Moneyline
Total

67% picking Philadelphia vs Colorado to go Over

67%
33%

Total PicksPHI 375, COL 182

Total
Over
Under

PHI vs COL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

Ryan McMahon
R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Ryan McMahon will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ryan McMahon has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 104.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 95.3-mph.

Ryan McMahon logo

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Ryan McMahon will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ryan McMahon has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 104.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 95.3-mph.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.6
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average talent. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In notching a .370 BABIP this year, Trea Turner is ranked in the 95th percentile.

Trea Turner logo

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.6
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average talent. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In notching a .370 BABIP this year, Trea Turner is ranked in the 95th percentile.

Tyler Freeman Total Hits Props • Colorado

Tyler Freeman
T. Freeman
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Tyler Freeman's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Tyler Freeman will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Hitters such as Tyler Freeman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jesus Luzardo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Tyler Freeman logo

Tyler Freeman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tyler Freeman's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Tyler Freeman will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Hitters such as Tyler Freeman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jesus Luzardo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Schwarber has had some very good luck this year. His .407 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .362.

Kyle Schwarber logo

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Schwarber has had some very good luck this year. His .407 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .362.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Hitting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Nick Castellanos will be in a tough position in today's game. Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. In the last 14 days, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 91 mph to 85.9 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 17.9°, Nick Castellanos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.6°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Nick Castellanos logo

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Hitting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Nick Castellanos will be in a tough position in today's game. Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. In the last 14 days, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 91 mph to 85.9 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 17.9°, Nick Castellanos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.6°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Jordan Beck Total Hits Props • Colorado

Jordan Beck
J. Beck
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

This year, Jordan Beck has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Beck's true offensive skill to be a .307, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .071 gap between that mark and his actual .378 wOBA. Grading out in the 12th percentile, Jordan Beck has put up a .275 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season. In terms of plate discipline, Jordan Beck's skill is quite weak, putting up a 4.74 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 10th percentile.

Jordan Beck logo

Jordan Beck

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

This year, Jordan Beck has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Beck's true offensive skill to be a .307, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .071 gap between that mark and his actual .378 wOBA. Grading out in the 12th percentile, Jordan Beck has put up a .275 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season. In terms of plate discipline, Jordan Beck's skill is quite weak, putting up a 4.74 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 10th percentile.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Colorado

Kyle Farmer
K. Farmer
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Kyle Farmer will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Farmer logo

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Kyle Farmer will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

Michael Toglia
M. Toglia
first base 1B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Michael Toglia logo

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Colorado

Jacob Stallings
J. Stallings
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Jacob Stallings will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Jacob Stallings will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Jacob Stallings logo

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Jacob Stallings will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Jacob Stallings will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

Brenton Doyle
B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Brenton Doyle will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

Brenton Doyle logo

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Brenton Doyle will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Alec Bohm is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today's game. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Batting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Alec Bohm will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm today. Over the last week, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

Alec Bohm logo

Alec Bohm

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Alec Bohm is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today's game. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Batting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Alec Bohm will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm today. Over the last week, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.7-mph average last year has dropped to 86.9-mph.

Bryson Stott logo

Bryson Stott

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.7-mph average last year has dropped to 86.9-mph.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Max Kepler is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Max Kepler in today's matchup. Max Kepler has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

Max Kepler logo

Max Kepler

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Max Kepler is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Max Kepler in today's matchup. Max Kepler has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Harper today. In the past week, Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 92.9 mph to 85.2 mph.

Bryce Harper logo

Bryce Harper

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Harper today. In the past week, Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 92.9 mph to 85.2 mph.

Hunter Goodman Total Hits Props • Colorado

Hunter Goodman
H. Goodman
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Hunter Goodman will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Hunter Goodman logo

Hunter Goodman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Hunter Goodman will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 6th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 93.6-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Brandon Marsh logo

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 6th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 93.6-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

Ezequiel Tovar
E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Typically, bats like Ezequiel Tovar who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jesus Luzardo. In terms of his batting average, Ezequiel Tovar has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .269 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .237. Ezequiel Tovar has compiled a .287 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 21st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's ability is quite poor, sporting a 9.4 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 1st percentile.

Ezequiel Tovar logo

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Typically, bats like Ezequiel Tovar who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jesus Luzardo. In terms of his batting average, Ezequiel Tovar has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .269 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .237. Ezequiel Tovar has compiled a .287 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 21st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's ability is quite poor, sporting a 9.4 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 1st percentile.

Aaron Schunk Total Hits Props • Colorado

Aaron Schunk
A. Schunk
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Aaron Schunk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Aaron Schunk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Aaron Schunk logo

Aaron Schunk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Aaron Schunk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Aaron Schunk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Adael Amador Total Hits Props • Colorado

Adael Amador
A. Amador
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Bats such as Adael Amador with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jesus Luzardo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Adael Amador will hold that advantage in today's game.

Adael Amador logo

Adael Amador

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Coors Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Bats such as Adael Amador with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jesus Luzardo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Adael Amador will hold that advantage in today's game.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Batting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, J.T. Realmuto encounters a tough challenge in today's game. J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 11°, J.T. Realmuto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3°) over the last two weeks.

J.T. Realmuto logo

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games today at 18%. Batting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, J.T. Realmuto encounters a tough challenge in today's game. J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 11°, J.T. Realmuto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3°) over the last two weeks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Philadelphia Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 fatrats 8-2-0 +21045
2 jlayne089 5-5-0 +20155
3 jakringle 4-6-0 +19940
4 Alayne 9-1-0 +19467
5 dragon5868 5-5-0 +19235
6 tonloc4554 6-4-0 +17610
7 KSBreview 6-4-0 +15789
8 JL023 3-7-0 +15387
9 DavePaliwoda 7-3-0 +15330
10 nolajay 7-3-0 +15250
All Phillies Money Leaders

Colorado Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 doomsday07 7-2-1 +28415
2 leafs126 8-2-0 +28005
3 adgadg222 8-2-0 +26815
4 lusvegasluva 4-6-0 +23010
5 Dogface253 7-2-1 +22855
6 moneyformo 7-3-0 +21495
7 ND21 9-1-0 +21105
8 Hoosier 7-2-1 +20260
9 fishercz 8-1-1 +19955
10 simoncald 9-1-0 +19655
All Rockies Money Leaders
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