Texas @ New York Picks & Props

The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. Sam Haggerty's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 27.78 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.79 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has had some very poor luck given the .066 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.

Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Oswald Peraza will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 6th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Oswald Peraza has demonstrated exceptional bat control judging by THE BAT X Spray Score, which measures a batter's skill in hitting the ball to all fields. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.311) implies that Oswald Peraza has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .268 actual wOBA.

Marcus Semien is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.3°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23.2° angle in the past two weeks' worth of games. Marcus Semien's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.5° figure last year. In terms of his batting average, Marcus Semien has been unlucky this year. His .174 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.

The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Yankee Stadium has the 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today. As it relates to his batting average, Paul Goldschmidt has had some very good luck this year. His .339 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .281.

The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today. Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Aaron Judge's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 95.9-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 92.6-mph over the last week.

The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. Wyatt Langford has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.7% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 7 days. In the last week, Wyatt Langford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph lately.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Among every team playing today, the 6th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today. Last season, Trent Grisham had an average launch angle of 20.4° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 25.2°.

Batters such as Austin Wells with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Patrick Corbin who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Among every team playing today, the 6th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (21.4°) is a considerable increase over his 16.9° figure last season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) suggests that Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck this year with his .207 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 16.8% to 20.9%. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 20.9% on the season to 30.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jasson Dominguez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among every team playing today, the 6th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jasson Dominguez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.3-mph average.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. Adolis Garcia has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 92.3-mph mark. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (21.6°) is quite a bit better than his 14.8° mark last season.

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Anthony Volpe will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 6th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 6th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ben Rice will hold that advantage today. Ben Rice has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season's 90-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Smith in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Josh Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Smith has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren in today's matchup. Joc Pederson is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Patrick Corbin. Among every team playing today, the 6th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.

DJ LeMahieu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 6th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has shown some good exit velocity indicators lately, averaging 98.4-mph on his flyballs over the past 7 days.