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CHC vs MIA Picks
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Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's game.. Kyle Stowers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Kyle Stowers has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last season to 23.6% this season.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's matchup.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (42.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Seiya Suzuki has made significant strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.5% rate last year to 17.3% this year.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 10th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Kyle Tucker is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Tucker tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Weathers.. In notching a .383 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Kyle Tucker is ranked in the 98th percentile for offensive skills.
Total RBIs

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Weathers in today's game.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Over the last 7 days, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 18.2%.
Total RBIs

Ian Happ o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ian Happ is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.
Total RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Jesus Sanchez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jameson Taillon.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Eric Wagaman will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.7°, Eric Wagaman has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.3° mark over the past two weeks.. When it comes to his home runs, Eric Wagaman has suffered from bad luck this year. His 10.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.8.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Graham Pauley o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Graham Pauley will have the handedness advantage against Jameson Taillon today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Tucker o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 2.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 10th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Kyle Tucker is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Tucker tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Weathers.. In notching a .383 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Kyle Tucker is ranked in the 98th percentile for offensive skills.
Total Bases

Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Weathers in today's game.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Over the last 7 days, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 18.2%.