Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

CIN vs PIT Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

We roll with the Reds here as they will have the pitching advantage with Nick Martinez going up against Bailey Falter. The Reds also have momentum on their side, winning five straight, while the Pirates are already playing out the rest of the season. 

Strikeouts Thrown
Nick Martinez logo
Nick Martinez u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 4.4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Martinez to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (12th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. PNC Park grades out as the #27 park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Nick Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Total RBIs
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Elly De La Cruz has strong power (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (30.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter is a pitch-to-contact type (8th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.. Hitters such as Elly De La Cruz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Falter who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Elly De La Cruz has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 93.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Nick Martinez.. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the league's 8th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Matt McLain will have an edge in today's matchup.. Matt McLain has big-time HR ability (85th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter doesn't generate many whiffs (14th percentile K%) — great news for McLain.. Matt McLain has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 46.5% on the season to 64% in the last 14 days.
Total RBIs
Alexander Canario logo
Alexander Canario o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Alexander Canario ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Alexander Canario will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Over the past two weeks, Alexander Canario's 23.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.347) provides evidence that Alexander Canario has had some very poor luck this year with his .302 actual wOBA.
Outs Recorded
Nick Martinez logo
Nick Martinez u17.5 Outs Recorded (+110)
Projection 15.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Martinez to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (12th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. It may be best to expect improved performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the unluckiest offense in baseball this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best stadium in the league for batting average.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Elly De La Cruz has strong power (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (30.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter is a pitch-to-contact type (8th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.. Hitters such as Elly De La Cruz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Falter who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Elly De La Cruz has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 93.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Elly De La Cruz has strong power (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (30.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter is a pitch-to-contact type (8th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.. Hitters such as Elly De La Cruz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Falter who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Elly De La Cruz has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 93.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Connor Joe logo
Connor Joe o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
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CIN vs PIT Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

70% picking Cincinnati

70%
30%

Total PicksCIN 600, PIT 253

Moneyline
CIN
PIT
Moneyline
Total

67% picking Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under

33%
67%

Total PicksCIN 164, PIT 336

Total
Over
Under

CIN vs PIT Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitters such as Elly De La Cruz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Falter who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Elly De La Cruz logo

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitters such as Elly De La Cruz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Falter who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Matt McLain
M. McLain
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Matt McLain will have an edge in today's matchup. Matt McLain has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.

Matt McLain logo

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Matt McLain will have an edge in today's matchup. Matt McLain has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jared Triolo
J. Triolo
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jared Triolo's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Jared Triolo logo

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jared Triolo's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. PNC Park ranks as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Over the past 14 days, TJ Friedl's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.1-mph over the course of the season to 94.3-mph recently. As it relates to plate discipline, TJ Friedl's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.47 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 86th percentile.

TJ Friedl logo

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. PNC Park ranks as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Over the past 14 days, TJ Friedl's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.1-mph over the course of the season to 94.3-mph recently. As it relates to plate discipline, TJ Friedl's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.47 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 86th percentile.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Adam Frazier
A. Frazier
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

PNC Park ranks as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Adam Frazier will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Adam Frazier logo

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park ranks as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Adam Frazier will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jose Trevino
J. Trevino
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jose Trevino will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter in today's game.

Jose Trevino logo

Jose Trevino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jose Trevino will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter in today's game.

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Santiago Espinal
S. Espinal
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Santiago Espinal will have the upper hand in today's game.

Santiago Espinal logo

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Santiago Espinal will have the upper hand in today's game.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Tyler Stephenson
T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Tyler Stephenson will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.2-mph average to last season's 93.8-mph EV.

Tyler Stephenson logo

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Tyler Stephenson will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.2-mph average to last season's 93.8-mph EV.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Oneil Cruz
O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. PNC Park ranks as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.

Oneil Cruz logo

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. PNC Park ranks as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. PNC Park ranks as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Nick Martinez.

Bryan Reynolds logo

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. PNC Park ranks as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Nick Martinez.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitters such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Martinez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitters such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Martinez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Austin Hays
A. Hays
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Austin Hays will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Austin Hays has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.1-mph average to last year's 91.6-mph EV.

Austin Hays logo

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Austin Hays will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Austin Hays has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.1-mph average to last year's 91.6-mph EV.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today. In the last week's worth of games, Ke'Bryan Hayes's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 16.7%.

Ke'Bryan Hayes logo

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today. In the last week's worth of games, Ke'Bryan Hayes's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 16.7%.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Spencer Steer
S. Steer
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Spencer Steer will have an edge today. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.8°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.2° figure in the past week's worth of games.

Spencer Steer logo

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Spencer Steer will have an edge today. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.8°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.2° figure in the past week's worth of games.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Joey Bart is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Joey Bart logo

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Joey Bart is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Alexander Canario Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Alexander Canario
A. Canario
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Alexander Canario will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past two weeks, Alexander Canario's 23.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.

Alexander Canario logo

Alexander Canario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Alexander Canario will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past two weeks, Alexander Canario's 23.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Andrew McCutchen logo

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Connor Joe
C. Joe
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Connor Joe will have an edge today.

Connor Joe logo

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Connor Joe will have an edge today.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park ranks as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.

Spencer Horwitz logo

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park ranks as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Cincinnati Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MLBFan8848 4-6-0 +16975
2 samua 4-6-0 +16620
3 theSleeper 5-5-0 +15590
4 sprtnt1 7-3-0 +14035
5 northlv6238 8-1-1 +13865
6 uncle_Pasha_DRW 4-5-1 +13531
7 ASDFJKL123 5-4-1 +13198
8 stranger28 8-2-0 +13139
9 IronCity1 5-4-1 +13060
10 FAMCOLLECTOR 6-4-0 +12725
All Reds Money Leaders

Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
All Pirates Money Leaders
Top User Picks

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