Chicago @ Miami picks

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Brown to throw 85 pitches today (10th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Ben Brown has a reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged facing 6 same-handed bats in this outing.. Considering that flyball hitters hold a significant edge over groundball pitchers, Ben Brown and his 33.6% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position in today's outing matching up with 4 opposing GB hitters.. Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ben Brown today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the majors.. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. In the past 7 days, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.9% up to 20%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Jesus Sanchez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ben Brown.

Carson Kelly is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all stadiums, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Carson Kelly's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 47.5% on the season to 63.6% in the last 7 days.. Carson Kelly has recorded a .342 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile.

As it relates to his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (42.7% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Seiya Suzuki has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11.5% rate last year to 17.6% this season.

When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage against Ben Brown in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Connor Norby is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week, Connor Norby's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.8% up to 21.4%.. In terms of his home runs, Connor Norby has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 22.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.1.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's game.. Michael Busch is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.