Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Alexander Canario has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 96-mph in the past week's worth of games. Alexander Canario's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 21.3% on the season to 26.3% over the last two weeks.

This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .230. Henry Davis is very quick, ranking in the 76th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.12 ft/sec this year.

Joey Bart's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Bart is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Joey Bart pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Andrew McCutchen pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Ke'Bryan Hayes is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 1.1% seasonal rate to 7.1% over the past week.

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Mick Abel in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. In the past week's worth of games, Adam Frazier's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.7-mph over the course of the season to 91.3-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 15th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mick Abel in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last week, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 27.3%.

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 19.3%.

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Mick Abel. Bryan Reynolds has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Alec Bohm's 58.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.2%.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage in today's matchup. Spencer Horwitz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.