St. Louis @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Extreme groundball hitters like Michael Massey tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (28.4°) is considerably better than his 24.5° mark last season.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Vinnie Pasquantino will hold that advantage in today's game.

Masyn Winn has been pinch hit for 12% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year. Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-largest outfield in the league — generally bad for long-balls. Batting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Masyn Winn has a tough challenge today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masyn Winn in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Masyn Winn's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

In today's matchup, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.4% rate (87th percentile).

When starting against a southpaw since the start of last season, Maikel Garcia has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time. Maikel Garcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 4th-deepest CF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Maikel Garcia are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Matthew Liberatore. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 87.6-mph over the last 7 days. Maikel Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 47.3% on the season to 31.6% in the last 14 days.

Brendan Donovan has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Brendan Donovan has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week. Brendan Donovan's launch angle in recent games (-0.3° in the past week) is considerably worse than his 9.2° seasonal mark. Brendan Donovan has been lucky this year, compiling a .361 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .026 deviation.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Victor Scott II will have an edge in today's matchup.

Salvador Perez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 field in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Salvador Perez will have an edge in today's game.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 field in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 field in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Drew Waters will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today's matchup.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 field in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Freddy Fermin will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 field in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 venue in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 field in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 field in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nolan Arenado has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 86.7-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 field in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Barrel% of Ivan Herrera has significantly improved, with an increase from 9% last year to 20% this season.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 field in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Hunter Renfroe will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Mark Canha is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 field in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Mark Canha will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's game.

Dairon Blanco's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 field in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Dairon Blanco will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup.