St. Louis @ Kansas City picks

Kauffman Stadium

STL vs KC Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL (+100)
Best Odds
 -115 bet365
Pick made: one month ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
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 -115
 -116
 -115
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Royals starter Michael Wacha has had issues against his former team, surrendering a .307/.366/.634 slash line over 75 ABs. With the Cardinals ranking Top 10 in runs per game and OPS, I like them as road dogs in this spot.

Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +230 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o0.5  +230
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The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the league's 20th-best home run batter.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup.. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (28.4°) is considerably better than his 24.5° mark last season.
Total RBIs
Vinnie Pasquantino logo
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +230 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o0.5  +230
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Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Vinnie Pasquantino will hold that advantage in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.2-mph.
Total RBIs
Masyn Winn logo
Masyn Winn o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +220 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o0.5  +220
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Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Masyn Winn has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 96.7-mph in the past week.. Masyn Winn's launch angle this year (19.4°) is a considerable increase over his 13° mark last year.
Total RBIs
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +200 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o0.5  +200
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The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage today.
Outs Recorded
Matthew Liberatore logo
Matthew Liberatore u17.5 Outs Recorded (+110)
Projection 16 (Under)
Best Odds
u17.5 +110 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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u17.5  +110
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It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Kansas City Royals offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best park in the league for walks.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. With 7 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Matthew Liberatore will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -155 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o0.5  -155
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The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the league's 20th-best home run batter.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup.. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (28.4°) is considerably better than his 24.5° mark last season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Vinnie Pasquantino logo
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +120 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o1.5  +120
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Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Vinnie Pasquantino will hold that advantage in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.2-mph.
Outs Recorded
Michael Wacha logo
Michael Wacha u17.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Projection 16.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u17.5 +100 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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u17.5  +100
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The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best park in the league for walks.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Michael Wacha's fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this season (92.6 mph) below where it was last year (93.6 mph).. Michael Wacha's change-up rate has dropped by 7% from last year to this one (32.3% to 25.3%) .
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +135 bet365
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o1.5  +135
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o1.5  +125
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The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
Jonathan India logo
Jonathan India o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +150 bet365
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o1.5  +150
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o1.5  +140
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The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Jonathan India will have an edge in today's game.

STL vs KC Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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Total

63% picking St. Louis vs Kansas City to go Under

37%
63%

Total PicksSTL 172, KC 299

Total
Over
Under

STL vs KC Top User Picks

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