St. Louis @ Kansas City picks
Kauffman Stadium
STL vs KC Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the league's 20th-best home run batter.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup.. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (28.4°) is considerably better than his 24.5° mark last season.
Total RBIs

Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Vinnie Pasquantino will hold that advantage in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.2-mph.
Total RBIs

Masyn Winn o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Masyn Winn has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 96.7-mph in the past week.. Masyn Winn's launch angle this year (19.4°) is a considerable increase over his 13° mark last year.
Total RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage today.
Outs Recorded

Matthew Liberatore u17.5 Outs Recorded (+110)
Projection 16 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Kansas City Royals offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best park in the league for walks.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. With 7 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Matthew Liberatore will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the league's 20th-best home run batter.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup.. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (28.4°) is considerably better than his 24.5° mark last season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Vinnie Pasquantino will hold that advantage in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.2-mph.
Outs Recorded

Michael Wacha u17.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Projection 16.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best park in the league for walks.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Michael Wacha's fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this season (92.6 mph) below where it was last year (93.6 mph).. Michael Wacha's change-up rate has dropped by 7% from last year to this one (32.3% to 25.3%) .
Total Bases

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage today.
Total Bases

Jonathan India o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Jonathan India will have an edge in today's game.