Colorado @ Arizona picks
Chase Field
COL vs AZ Picks
MLB Picks
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Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Merrill Kelly has started to hit his stride, and the Diamondbacks hurler will face a Rockies lineup that he's dominated, as hitters are slashing just .200/.248/.361 in 95 at-bats against the Arizona right-hander. Meanwhile, Colorado starter Chase Dollander has been extremely shaky, allowing a 1.47 WHIP and 6.88 ERA through seven starts. Take Arizona to blow out their NL West counterparts at Chase Field.
Total RBIs

Pavin Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Chase Dollander throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in the league for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs

Brenton Doyle o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 80th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in the league for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 13th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in the league for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs

Ryan McMahon o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in the league for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.
Outs Recorded

Merrill Kelly u17.5 Outs Recorded (+135)
Projection 17.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The Colorado Rockies have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future. Stu Scheurwater grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.. Jose Herrera, the D-Backs's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field grades out as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in the league for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jose Herrera o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today.. Jose Herrera will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.