St. Louis @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 27%. Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough challenge in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's deepest RF fences today. Typically, bats like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Miles Mikolas.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the league for lefty BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 27%. Miles Mikolas will have the handedness advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's game. Maikel Garcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, going from 48.8% on the season to 29.4% in the last week's worth of games. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Maikel Garcia's true offensive talent to be a .312, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .050 disparity between that mark and his actual .362 wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the league for lefty BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Lars Nootbaar has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.2-mph.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Masyn Winn in today's game. Masyn Winn has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.6-mph figure.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jonathan India will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 27%. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Brendan Donovan has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Brendan Donovan has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Jordan Walker has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 15.7% on the season to 28.6% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the league for lefty BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Drew Waters will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Miles Mikolas today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Drew Waters will hold that advantage today.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the league for lefty BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand today. Vinnie Pasquantino will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Ivan Herrera will have a tough challenge today. Ivan Herrera has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph average.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Willson Contreras in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the league for lefty BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Kyle Isbel will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Kyle Isbel has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 89.2-mph.

The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage against Pedro Pages in today's game. Pedro Pages has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 86.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the league for lefty BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage today. Michael Massey has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 90.7-mph.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Nolan Arenado meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Nolan Arenado has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 89.1-mph over the last week.

The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Freddy Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Freddy Fermin has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph average. Freddy Fermin's launch angle in recent games (31.3° over the last week) is a significant increase over his 13.1° seasonal angle.

Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Salvador Perez has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.8°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the league for lefty BABIP. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Cavan Biggio will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage today. Cavan Biggio has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 88.6-mph average to last season's 84.7-mph figure.