St. Louis @ Kansas City picks
Kauffman Stadium
STL vs KC Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Maikel Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Hitters such as Maikel Garcia with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Miles Mikolas who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Maikel Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Willson Contreras in today's game.. Willson Contreras has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 14 days.
Total RBIs

Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the past two weeks, Salvador Perez has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.8°.
Total RBIs

Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 4th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Bobby Witt Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Over the past 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 26.7%.
Total RBIs

Masyn Winn o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Masyn Winn is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Masyn Winn in today's game.. Masyn Winn has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.6-mph figure.. Masyn Winn's launch angle this season (19.9°) is a considerable increase over his 13° angle last season.
Total RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Lars Nootbaar has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.2-mph.. Compared to last season, Lars Nootbaar has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.2% to 50% this season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Victor Scott II o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Total Bases

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Lars Nootbaar has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.2-mph.. Compared to last season, Lars Nootbaar has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.2% to 50% this season.
Total Bases

Jonathan India o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jonathan India will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Lars Nootbaar has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.2-mph.. Compared to last season, Lars Nootbaar has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.2% to 50% this season.