Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The #4 stadium in baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Nick Castellanos will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today. Over the last week, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 91.4 mph to 83.2 mph.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adam Frazier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Last season, Adam Frazier had an average launch angle of 11.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.8°.

Spencer Horwitz's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Horwitz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. Spencer Horwitz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Jared Triolo has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 96-mph in the last two weeks.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.

The #4 stadium in baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Because of Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Trea Turner will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today. Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.1°, Trea Turner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.4°) in the last two weeks.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 field in the game for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Zack Wheeler. Bryan Reynolds has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Matt Gorski has been hot lately, posting a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) in the past two weeks' worth of games. Over the past 14 days, Matt Gorski has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 20.4° angle.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Carmen Mlodzinski today... and the cherry on top, Mlodzinski has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.7-mph average.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bats such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zack Wheeler who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph figure.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. J.T. Realmuto has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.6% seasonal rate to 30% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Bryson Stott will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 95.4-mph recently.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Andrew McCutchen pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Brandon Marsh will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Joey Bart is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Bart pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Considering Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Kyle Schwarber will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Alexander Canario is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Alexander Canario has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 92-mph figure.